Author: Muhammet Ali Zurnacı
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Can Germany be France?
MUHAMMET ALİ ZURNACI A threat perception that wears down continental security architectures ensures an increase in defense expenditures. While the Ukraine crisis serves as a major signal with the potential to spread from the Northeast across the entire European continent, the Greek-Turkish tension may trigger a dynamic capable of shaking Europe from the Near East–East…
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Visions
Prescribed Analyses A potential Taiwan intervention is driven by three main economic goals: downsizing the Chinese economy, reducing production costs by shifting inexpensive production to even lower-cost alternatives, and strategically transferring the cost of trade imbalances to China. The military consequences involve a grand strategy with maritime leverage for long-term gain, psychological superiority across the…
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Policy Choice in Hard Times: Türkiye
Do “Geopolitical Oppression” or “Threat Perception” Lead to Hard Moves in Times of Economic Contraction? Türkiye What Does MAZ Consultancy Predict for Türkiye? Limited but decisive hard moves (including in the Aegean), as has been the case since the 1970s. As long as Türkiye does not switch to a ‘war economy’, it is highly likely…
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Cognitive Adjustment
Growing Need for Psychotherapy in Decision-Making Between “Sovereign Ambitions” and “Transforming Environment” Muhammet Ali Zurnacı Before, during, or after decision-making, leaders require rational (even if seemingly irrational) policy frameworks and calculated calmness in rapidly changing environments. I believe that cognitive-behavioral therapy is becoming increasingly essential for global leaders, particularly for decision-makers of ambitious regional and…
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Near Easting the Eurasia
Between Regionalization and Clashing Interests A terse review: U.S.-China competition and cooperation influence the globe, transcending continents and regions. The Near East and Eurasia are no exception. Both regions appear caught in the uncalculated costs of their policy choices. The gas superpower Russia seems to have overreached. Turkey has shifted away from its pro-Muslim Brotherhood…