Author: Muhammet Ali Zurnacı
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Soaring Costs
The Dominoes and the Day Goes By The costs of the Ukraine crisis, compounded by the economic fallout of the coronavirus pandemic, continue to cause ripples not only in the destabilized region but across the globe. The intricate relationship between defense budgets and inflation creates an uncertain balance for nearly every country in the medium…
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Early Celebration
Misunderstanding Soft Power Recent developments on the ground have made it clear that Russia, faced with the need to narrow its front and increase the cost of using force in Ukraine, is attempting to conceal its challenging situation through annexation and forced, insincere celebrations. This “show must go on” tactic is a poor choice for…
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VodkaSphere of Influence
Dreams, Objectives, and Ground The smart take was in the MAZ Foresight Report. (September 2021) “Russia will pay prices beyond her calculations.” While the MAZ Foresight report pointed out this prediction clearly, analysts throughout the globe were discussing whether Russia would intervene, its possible timing, and potential consequences. It was again in the same report:…
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Can Germany be France?
MUHAMMET ALİ ZURNACI A threat perception that wears down continental security architectures ensures an increase in defense expenditures. While the Ukraine crisis serves as a major signal with the potential to spread from the Northeast across the entire European continent, the Greek-Turkish tension may trigger a dynamic capable of shaking Europe from the Near East–East…
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Visions
Prescribed Analyses A potential Taiwan intervention is driven by three main economic goals: downsizing the Chinese economy, reducing production costs by shifting inexpensive production to even lower-cost alternatives, and strategically transferring the cost of trade imbalances to China. The military consequences involve a grand strategy with maritime leverage for long-term gain, psychological superiority across the…