Author: Muhammet Ali Zurnacı
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Policy Choice in Hard Times: Türkiye
Do “Geopolitical Oppression” or “Threat Perception” Lead to Hard Moves in Times of Economic Contraction? Türkiye What Does MAZ Consultancy Predict for Türkiye? Limited but decisive hard moves (including in the Aegean), as has been the case since the 1970s. As long as Türkiye does not switch to a ‘war economy’, it is highly likely…
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Cognitive Adjustment
Growing Need for Psychotherapy in Decision-Making Between “Sovereign Ambitions” and “Transforming Environment” Muhammet Ali Zurnacı Before, during, or after decision-making, leaders require rational (even if seemingly irrational) policy frameworks and calculated calmness in rapidly changing environments. I believe that cognitive-behavioral therapy is becoming increasingly essential for global leaders, particularly for decision-makers of ambitious regional and…
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Near Easting the Eurasia
Between Regionalization and Clashing Interests A terse review: U.S.-China competition and cooperation influence the globe, transcending continents and regions. The Near East and Eurasia are no exception. Both regions appear caught in the uncalculated costs of their policy choices. The gas superpower Russia seems to have overreached. Turkey has shifted away from its pro-Muslim Brotherhood…
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Turkey’s Shrinking Range of Motion
MUHAMMET ALI ZURNACI At a time when U.S. decision-makers debate whether MiG-29 fighter jets should be sent to Ukraine via Poland, Turkey’s entrepreneurial effort at mediation appears stillborn. The international agenda is centered on two critical questions: Even these significant military and economic issues may not prove to be game-changers. Thus, it is not difficult…
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The Pulse of Power Shift
Muhammet Ali Zurnacı/Istanbul The pulse of a power shift throughout Eastern Europe is now unmistakable. The Russian invasion of Ukraine 2.0 makes this reality clearer than ever. We are transitioning from a point where Russia could not invade any European nation to a point where it can reach the capital of Ukraine. This is no…