Category: Conflict
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Boko Haram Factions Clash
A fresh wave of intense infighting between Boko Haram’s mainstream faction, Jama’atu Ahlis Sunna Lidda’awati wal-Jihad (JAS), and its splinter group, the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP), has erupted in the Lake Chad Basin region of Borno State, Nigeria. The violence, which began on November 5, 2025, and continued through at least November 9,…
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Coerced Peace and the Architecture of Power Alignment
Structural Dependency, Transit Leverage, and Strategic Ordering from the Caspian to the Levant 1. Regional Events as a System, Not Episodes Middle Eastern geopolitics is often interpreted through isolated frames: Türkiye’s domestic security debates, Syria’s post-war settlement, Gulf-Egyptian rivalries, and the Israeli-Palestinian arena. Treated separately, these files distort the strategic architecture now emerging. The region…
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Cairo Moves to Block Turkish Role in Gaza Security Force?
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in AI, Analysis, CIO-100, Conflict, Egypt, Gaza, Intelligence, Israel, Middle East, Palestine, United Arab Emirates, USOsint: “Egypt is reportedly negotiating with the U.S. to block Turkey from joining the International Stabilization Force in Gaza. Cairo, wary of Ankara’s growing influence and citing security concerns along its border, aims to limit Turkey’s role while offering it a larger part in reconstruction. The absence of Egypt’s FM from an Istanbul meeting signals…
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UK Resupplies Ukraine with Storm Shadow
Bloomberg: “The UK government recently resupplied Ukraine with more Storm Shadow cruise missiles to enable Kyiv to continue its campaign of long-range strikes inside Russia. The delivery of an unspecified number of missiles was made to ensure Ukraine is stocked ahead of the winter months, during which Britain is concerned the Kremlin will step up…
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Lukashenko Threatens Europe with New Missile Deployment
“We’ll sit with Putin, make a decision, and fire the Oreshnik”: Lukashenko threatens Europe with ballistic missiles. What is your most up-to-date and in-depth assessment? Strategia-100, Chief Strategist: Here is my in‑depth strategic assessment of the situation surrounding Alexander Lukashenko’s threat to Europe via the deployment of the Oreshnik missile system. I’ll break it into: (1) what…