Category: Foresight
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Hyper-Realist Views on Turkey
Turkey is one of the few countries that is clearly corrupted in socio-political and socio-economic terms, with an extreme imbalance between its ‘military power’ and ‘economic power.’ Similar countries include Iran and Russia. To survive, it is inevitable for Turkey to experience this tragedy and make its people live it. In other words, this is what conservative politics calls ‘a…
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Ukraine War Under President Trump
Where is the Ukraine War Going? The amount of support determines the duration. Every step that does not lead Ukraine to a complete victory prolongs the war. This could mean that spending relatively little in the short term could end up costing more in the long term, eventually trying to persuade both sides to the…
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Trump On the Way: A Critical Examination of Biden Administration Policies
The Biden administration’s reliance on sanctions and tariffs as tools to deter Russia, China, and Europe has fallen short of expectations. Despite concerted efforts, Russia adeptly evaded sanctions through strategic maneuvers, while China’s economic prowess strained relations both within Europe and across the Atlantic. The administration’s failure to address mounting discontent over the Palestinian issue,…
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Is Putin in a Crises of Decision-Making?
The latest crisis orchestrated by Wagner chief Prigozhin has deepened the questions regarding whether Russia is heading towards a political crisis stemming from an impasse in decision-making. From the very beginning I had scenarios on this unexpected issue: Here are the simplest possible scenarios for the decision-making mechanism of Russia thereafter. Scenarios: According to the…
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China Mediates the Middle East
Muhammet Ali Zurnaci, Istanbul China’s latest sensational mediation between Saudi Arabia and Iran, aiming to restore their relations, can be evaluated primarily based on two scenarios. Scenarios: The probable scenarios that could be written to prove it was an ineffective diplomatic attempt would simply be enough to determine the negative limits of China’s political influence…