Category: Foresight
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What is Next in Turkish Politics: Artificial Scenarios
MAZ Corporate Artificial Scenarios on Turkey’s Election Thank God, an important part of MAZ’s October 2022 foresight has materialized: cacophony is now alive in Turkish politics. The opposition bloc, Millet Alliance, decided on its joint candidate yesterday: Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, who holds the largest vote share within the alliance. However, Meral Akşener, with the second-largest share, appears…
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Initial Cost of Turkey Earthquake
Initial Economic Analyses from Türkiye and Beyond The initial economic analyses concerning the earthquake in Türkiye are based on two main foundations: Some Turkish economists and casual observers see this historic earthquake as something already experienced, which is likely why they seem calm and well-prepared, backed by their high scientific self-esteem. However, their overly dignified…
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Counter Strategy PEK
Environmental Conditioning is likely to force PEK into making quick decisions. Turkey is deeply involved in diplomatic activity, searching for areas of maneuver despite feeling increasingly cornered by the hyperactive counter-diplomatic moves of other regional middle powers attempting to influence regional and subregional functions. Turkey remains hesitant about cross-border operations (land and maritime) due to the potential…
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2023 Forward
Swaying PEK in the Wind of Global Power Competition While each actor strives to become the dominant force in the Near/Middle East and the Eurasian/Caucasus regions, the natural-environmental realities of global and regional power competition set clear boundaries on their subjective actions. All these actors are caught in fascinating swings between “existential threats” and “rational…
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Soaring Costs
The Dominoes and the Day Goes By The costs of the Ukraine crisis, compounded by the economic fallout of the coronavirus pandemic, continue to cause ripples not only in the destabilized region but across the globe. The intricate relationship between defense budgets and inflation creates an uncertain balance for nearly every country in the medium…