Category: Foresight
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Ukraine-Russia Foresight
Yesterday, President Trump told the press that during his 2-hour and 15-minute phone conversation with Putin about the Ukraine-Russia war, he shared an interesting analogy. This may seem simple, but it’s actually a very important signal—exactly what I was referring to in my Ukraine forecast in 2022–23. Muhammet Ali Zurnacı: “I had predicted that ‘Russia…
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Lee Jae-myung Victory
Lee Jae-myung, the liberal Democratic Party candidate, won the snap presidential election on June 3, 2025, with exit polls projecting him securing 51.7% of the votes against conservative Kim Moon-soo’s 39.3%. Lee, who took office immediately without the usual two-month transition period, is tasked with restoring stability after former President Yoon Suk Yeol’s impeachment in…
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Istanbul Peace Talks
June 2, 2025.Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov states following today’s peace talks in Istanbul, that Ukraine and Russia have agreed to a “all-for-all” exchange of seriously wounded and ill prisoners of war, as well as all servicemembers aged 18–25. He adds that both sides have also agreed to begin exchanging the bodies of servicemembers 6,000…
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Assessment: Syria Civil War
“It is our assessment that frankly the [Syrian] transitional authority, given the challenges they’re facing, are maybe weeks, not many months, away from potential collapse, and a full scale civil war of epic proportions,” Rubio says today adding that 2 major threats facing Syria’s gov: 1) resurgence of ISIS, many of them foreign fighters 2)…
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Mali Junta Power Play
Mali’s ruling military junta declared yesterday that it will disband all political parties, acting on a recommendation from the recent ‘national dialogue’—a process that the opposition refused to participate in last month. AF-100, Chief of Africa: Political Parties Dissolved Stated Reason:The junta claims the dissolution follows a recommendation from the “national dialogue”—a supposedly inclusive consultation…