Category: Strategy
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Is Putin in a Crises of Decision-Making?
The latest crisis orchestrated by Wagner chief Prigozhin has deepened the questions regarding whether Russia is heading towards a political crisis stemming from an impasse in decision-making. From the very beginning I had scenarios on this unexpected issue: Here are the simplest possible scenarios for the decision-making mechanism of Russia thereafter. Scenarios: According to the…
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On The National Security Strategy of The Federal Republic of Germany
Germany’s first National Security Strategy seems to have fallen short of expectations. Analysts around the world did the job of detailing the paper fair enough. MAZ Corporate adds and underlines the points below: Muhammet Ali Zurnacı, Istanbul, June 17, 2023
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China Mediates the Middle East
Muhammet Ali Zurnaci, Istanbul China’s latest sensational mediation between Saudi Arabia and Iran, aiming to restore their relations, can be evaluated primarily based on two scenarios. Scenarios: The probable scenarios that could be written to prove it was an ineffective diplomatic attempt would simply be enough to determine the negative limits of China’s political influence…
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Counter Strategy PEK
Environmental Conditioning is likely to force PEK into making quick decisions. Turkey is deeply involved in diplomatic activity, searching for areas of maneuver despite feeling increasingly cornered by the hyperactive counter-diplomatic moves of other regional middle powers attempting to influence regional and subregional functions. Turkey remains hesitant about cross-border operations (land and maritime) due to the potential…
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2023 Forward
Swaying PEK in the Wind of Global Power Competition While each actor strives to become the dominant force in the Near/Middle East and the Eurasian/Caucasus regions, the natural-environmental realities of global and regional power competition set clear boundaries on their subjective actions. All these actors are caught in fascinating swings between “existential threats” and “rational…