Category: US
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Israel–Iran Conflict: Structural Deterrence in a Fog of Emotion
From Rivalry to Reaction: A Distorted Public Lens The Israel–Iran conflict has long remained confined to calibrated confrontation. And yet, public reactions often resemble a sporting rivalry—loud, tribal, and cognitively distorted. This leads to widespread analytical confusion, especially in an environment where information warfare dominates perception. (As foresaw in the Foresights section of the website, I predicted…
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US Strikes on Iran Foreseen
By now, everyone knows that Muhammet Ali Zurnacı is a Foresight Guru! And as for the recent bombings—this was far from shocking in the context of the Israel-Iran conflict. I had been expecting it for over a week. In fact, I even said I was tired of waiting. Eventually, I expressed a clear expectation with…
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The Strategic Limits of Regime Change in Iran
Despite mounting pressure, Iran has not collapsed. In an era shaped by swift interventions and externally driven transitions—Syria, Libya, Iraq—it’s tempting to imagine Iran’s regime will be next. But Iran is not a puppet, nor a failed state held together by foreign consent. It is a layered, sovereign actor—and attempts to force its transformation will…
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B2 Stealth Bombers
Fox News reports that six US B-2 stealth bombers currently appear headed towards Guam. The B-2 can carry a two-ton bunker buster bomb something only the U.S. possesses which experts say could be key in destroying Iran’s most heavily protected nuclear facility. OSINT says that they are flying , armed & loaded. Will B2s bomb…
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What Is Iran’s Problem?
Being an institutional enemy of the United States—the world’s unmatched military superpower—and Israel—arguably the most globally connected economic network—while simultaneously pursuing nuclear weapons and refusing to moderate its threatening rhetoric, naturally draws adversaries closer. Especially when those adversaries are already seeking justification, whether ideological, military, economic, or political. Iran is a sovereign state. The Islamic…