PEK Region: From Harmony to Cacophony
Immorality often emerges in all segments of the power game when internal and external power struggles begin to rage. Anthropology can teach us some lessons, though Ethology may offer even more. Music serves as the best pattern pool here for me. Take the PEK region, for instance. While actors attempt to align internal politics with external factors—often driven by environmental realities—uncontrollable elements within the power machinery bring about some unwanted sounds.
In this region, each element of the internal political environment is undergoing a phase shaped by an ambivalent psyche. These behavioral inefficiencies result in a throbbing dissonance. A few inconvenient notes in a masterpiece can render it unlistenable. Will this cacophony delay normalization under winter realities, or is a political transformation from within possible? Let us assess the fundamental and ongoing realities of PEK:
Negatives
- Upcoming elections (possible scenarios for PEK—all seem bad)
- Over-instrumentalization of law (anyway)
- Downsizing economies (anyway)
- No foreseeable financial durability (anyway)
- Unclear and temporary collaborations (regional or interregional) (anyway)
Positives
- Fair economic interdependencies sufficient for basic survival
- Adaptability to sanction & embargo sticks
- Relatively adequate military and economic instruments for any end-scenario
- Relative military gains
Addition and Subtraction
Are the positives enough to counterbalance the negatives? Not really.
MAZ Consulting predicts absolute economic abrasion in addition to military attrition. This suggests a significant erosion of overall power, paving the way for a cacophonic internal political environment for all—before, during, and after the elections.
Muhammet Ali Zurnaci
MAZ Foresights
Trial Release
November 7, 2022