Author: Muhammet Ali Zurnacı
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Turkey To Local Elections
Well, first, it’s important to note that the upcoming March 31 local elections in Turkey lack the political power to alter Turkey’s strategic dynamics concerning its foreign policy and internal politics. Erdoğan’s consolidation of one-man rule has intensified since the May 2023 elections, and his continued populist strategies to bolster his economic influence persist. So,…
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Turbulent Crossroads: Turkey’s Geo-Economic Challenges
Turkey finds itself at the crossroads of complex global, regional, and sub-regional competitions, where the escalation of these potential security risks looms large, threatening to overshadow potential opportunities. This nuanced perspective emphasizes not only the presence of security risks but the potential for their intensification, adding a layer of complexity to the challenges faced by…
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The US’ Shifting Approach to the Israel-Hamas War
How is the US gradual balancing towards the Israeli-Hamas war evolving? A search for a pattern. Phases: In the early days of the crisis, all institutions of the United States unequivocally and synchronously supported Israel. From the President to all public institutions, the same voice and emotional tone resonated, to the extent that some diplomatic…
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The Israel-Hamas War: Recommendations to Washington
What happened and How? 1. Washington was manipulated very quickly and support for Israel was reinforced primarily based on emotional responses and reactions. 2. After risk calculations made by MAZ Corporate Risk Team 2.1. The risk of America being dragged into a multi-front war has emerged (political-military). 2.2. It became clear that the unconditional, banal,…
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Is Putin in a Crises of Decision-Making?
The latest crisis orchestrated by Wagner chief Prigozhin has deepened the questions regarding whether Russia is heading towards a political crisis stemming from an impasse in decision-making. From the very beginning I had scenarios on this unexpected issue: Here are the simplest possible scenarios for the decision-making mechanism of Russia thereafter. Scenarios: According to the…