Category: Africa
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Tigray Cities Fall, War’s Endgame Uncertain
Renewed fighting has broken out in Ethiopia’s Tigray region since late September 2026, with Ethiopian federal forces (ENDF) and their allied Tigray Peace Forces (TPF) advancing against TPLF/TDF forces. This has included the reported capture of Adigrat (a key northern city near the Eritrean border) around October 10–11/12, following earlier gains such as Mekelle, Shire,…
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U.S. Troop Deployment to Nigeria
The United States is planning to deploy approximately 200 troops to Nigeria to assist in operations against Islamist insurgents, primarily groups like Boko Haram and the Islamic State in West Africa Province (ISWAP). What is your most up-to-date and in-depth assessment? AF-100, Africa Chief: Here’s a reality-based strategic assessment of the reported U.S. deployment of ~200 troops…
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Somaliland: Red Sea Power Struggle
Israel’s formal recognition of Somaliland as an independent sovereign state on December 26, 2025—the first such move by any UN member country—has indeed injected fresh momentum into the long-dormant Somaliland independence question. This development has intensified diplomatic friction across the Horn of Africa, while layering an overt Israel-Turkey rivalry onto an already complex web of…
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Benin Coup Foiled
On December 7, 2025, Benin experienced a short-lived coup attempt by a faction of mutinous soldiers who briefly seized the state television station in Cotonou, the country’s economic hub and de facto administrative capital. The plotters, led by Lieutenant Colonel Pascal Tigri, declared President Patrice Talon overthrown, suspended the constitution, dissolved institutions, and closed borders.…
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Guinea-Bissau: Military Halts Election, Seizes Power
“On November 26, 2025, Guinea-Bissau’s military announced it had seized “total control” of the country, suspending the ongoing electoral process and closing all borders. This dramatic escalation occurred just three days after the nation’s combined presidential and legislative elections on November 23, 2025, amid widespread disputes over the results. Provisional election outcomes were expected on…