Category: Analysis
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US Strikes on Iran Foreseen
By now, everyone knows that Muhammet Ali Zurnacı is a Foresight Guru! And as for the recent bombings—this was far from shocking in the context of the Israel-Iran conflict. I had been expecting it for over a week. In fact, I even said I was tired of waiting. Eventually, I expressed a clear expectation with…
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The Strategic Limits of Regime Change in Iran
Despite mounting pressure, Iran has not collapsed. In an era shaped by swift interventions and externally driven transitions—Syria, Libya, Iraq—it’s tempting to imagine Iran’s regime will be next. But Iran is not a puppet, nor a failed state held together by foreign consent. It is a layered, sovereign actor—and attempts to force its transformation will…
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B2 Stealth Bombers
Fox News reports that six US B-2 stealth bombers currently appear headed towards Guam. The B-2 can carry a two-ton bunker buster bomb something only the U.S. possesses which experts say could be key in destroying Iran’s most heavily protected nuclear facility. OSINT says that they are flying , armed & loaded. Will B2s bomb…
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Portugal’s Democratic Stalemate
Portugal’s new minority government, led by the center-right Democratic Alliance (AD) coalition under Prime Minister Luís Montenegro, took office on June 18, 2025, following snap elections on May 18. The AD, comprising the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the smaller CDS-People’s Party, secured 91 seats in the 230-seat National Assembly, up from 80 in 2024,…
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Tinubu’s Midterm
Nigeria’s president still faces many challenges, but with the opposition in disarray, Tinubu is consolidating support halfway through his term. Your up to date assessment? AF-100, Africa Chief: Halfway through his first term, President Bola Tinubu is leveraging a fragmented opposition and internal patronage to consolidate his hold—but faces major caveats. 🔹 Political Power & Opposition Weakness…