Category: Conflict
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Moscow’s Rear-Area Immunity Erodes
Moscow shot down dozens of drones in the early hours of June 22 and briefly suspended flights at airports, local authorities said, just days after Ukraine hit the Russian capital’s oil refinery again. – Reuters. What is your most up-to-date and in-depth assessment? RU-01, Russia Agent: The June 22 drone attack is significant not because…
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Will Netanyahu Undermine the Deal?
U.S. intelligence assessment: U.S. agencies warned the Trump administration that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is “likely to take steps” that could undermine or sabotage efforts for a lasting U.S.-Iran peace deal (a memorandum of understanding/MoU signed recently to pause hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and negotiate further on Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions, etc.).…
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Moscow Under Persistent Reach
Ukraine launched one of its largest drone attacks on Moscow since the war began, striking the Gazprom Neft refinery in Kapotnya for the second time this week and targeting sites in Rostov and occupied Ukraine. President Zelenskyy called the strikes ‘long-range sanctions,’ crediting his forces for the precision hits that disrupted a facility producing 11…
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U.S.-Iran Ceasefire: The 60-Day Test
The 14-point Islamabad Memorandum, mediated by Pakistan, declares an immediate permanent ceasefire across all fronts, including Lebanon, with commitments to respect sovereignty and negotiate a final deal within 60 days. Key terms include the U.S. lifting its naval blockade, sanctions waivers for Iranian oil, release of frozen assets, and $300 billion in reconstruction aid, while…
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Trump Signals Limits to Israeli Escalation
On June 16, 2026, at the G7 summit in Évian-les-Bains, France, President Donald Trump publicly stated that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu “has to be more responsible with respect to Lebanon.” He also expressed dissatisfaction with Israel’s recent military actions there, calling a recent attack in Beirut “too much” or “vicious” and noting it occurred…