Category: ME-100
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Gulf Pays the Price
Gulf States are expressing significant frustration with the ongoing U.S.-Israel war against Iran, which began in late February 2026, as they bear substantial economic and security costs despite not initiating or endorsing the conflict. What is your most up-to-date and in-depth assessment? ME-100, Chief of Middle East: ME-100 Strategic Assessment (updated March 2026): The Gulf monarchies…
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Turkey Rises, Iran Recedes?
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in AI, Analysis, Iran, Israel, ME-100, Middle East, Middle Powers, Power Projection, Strategy, TurkeyIn his ‘The Defense Memo’ Substack post, Gallant explains how pressure on Iran’s proxies, including Hezbollah damage and Syria’s Assad regime fall, has created a regional power vacuum now filled by Turkey. He highlights Turkey’s expanding influence in post-Assad Syria near Israel’s border, North Africa, Gaza, and Jerusalem, bolstered by its NATO role and $10…
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Trump Launches U.S.-Led ‘Board of Peace’
Trump signed the founding charter in Davos, with representatives from countries like UAE, Hungary, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Egypt, Qatar, Indonesia, and others (around 17–26 founding members). What is your most up-to-date and in-depth assessment? ME-100, Chief of Middle East: Here’s the most up-to-date and in-depth assessment of the **Trump-led “Board of Peace” (sometimes reported in the…
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U.S. Signals Deterrence
Fox News reports that the U.S. is now sending military assets to the Middle East as “tensions with Iran continue to build” What is your most up-to-date and in-depth assessment? ME-100, Chief of Middle East: Here’s the most up-to-date, verified picture on the U.S. military posture and U.S.–Iran tensions as of January 16, 2026, grounded in multiple reliable…
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Israel Signals Imminent Move to Disarm Hezbollah
U.S. Special Envoy Tom Barrack told Iraqi PM al-Sudani in Baghdad on Nov 30 that Israel is preparing an imminent, large-scale military operation in Lebanon to fully disarm Hezbollah. The operation will continue “until Hezbollah is disarmed” and could start very soon (days to weeks). What is your most up-to-date and in-depth assessment? ME-100, Middle…